Why
Gold Bullion Premiums are High and Going Higher
By Porter Stansberry
Yesterday,
I explained why the
U.S. dollar will lose much of its value during the government's
all-out attempt to "paper over" trillions in worthless home
loans, retirement obligations, and war debts.
Today, I'll show you the best way to protect yourself and prosper from
it...
The huge inflation underway right now will be what I call "The
End of America." I don't mean an end to our political union –
I mean an end to the special role America has played in the global
economy since World War II.
The
coming great inflation will destroy America's economic leadership. It
will lead – eventually – to the return of settling international
obligations in gold instead of paper dollars. And this will happen
much faster than anyone expects. By the time Obama leaves office, you
will not be able to exchange dollars for any sound currency in the world
without permission from the U.S. government. The price of gold
will be well over $2,500 per ounce. Most importantly,
commodities will no longer be priced in dollars either, but instead in
the currencies of the leading producer. Americans haven't experienced
anything like this since the Great Depression.
I'm sure 99% of you don't believe anything like this is possible. All I
can do is warn you. Looking at these numbers and watching the bullion
premium growing, I'm reminded of a classic quote from science-fiction
author Robert Heinlein: "There is no such thing as luck.
There is only adequate or inadequate preparation to cope with a
statistical universe."
If you protect yourself from what's coming, your neighbors
will think you were lucky. But luck's got nothing to do with it. And you
can still protect yourself from The End of America.
The best way to protect yourself is to own gold bullion –
plain, regular gold coins. The premium on these coins is moving
higher over the spot price of gold. What does that mean? It means to
actually take possession of gold in the United States, you have to pay a
significant premium over the spot price of gold in the futures markets.
According to Parker Vogt, the head of Camino Coin (phone: 650-348-3000),
one of the leading bullion dealers in the United States, the premium on
a $100,000 order of gold coins would be 9.25%-9.50%. I've made a $100
bet with my colleague Tom Dyson that this spread increases over the next
year.
Why? The reason is simple and well understood by all economists. It's
called Gresham's Law.
Thomas Gresham was an advisor to Queen Elizabeth of England in the
1500s. The queen was perplexed by the shortage of bullion in England
following the great debasement of the currency under Henry VIII and
Edward VI. The kings, like all governments, had clipped coins to
increase the money supply rather than increasing taxes to pay for their
governments.
Then, by edict, they enforced legal tender laws, requiring the clipped
coins be accepted for all obligations at face value. As a result, all
the "good" money – coins that hadn't been in circulation –
fled the country where the king couldn't destroy it. Meanwhile, clipped
coins from all over the world found their way to England, where they
earned more than their real value. As Gresham famously summarized, the
bad money had forced out the good.
The same thing has been going on in America for years. As late as 1964,
the U.S. half-dollar coin was still being minted with 90% silver. But in
1965, the silver content was lowered to only 40%. Even before this
change became official, the market perceived the U.S. was slipping off
the gold standard and the government couldn't afford to mint real silver
coins much longer. The 90% silver coins had largely disappeared from
circulation by the time the change was actually made in 1965.
In
1971, the government stopped including any silver in the coins. In 2007,
the same problem arose with pennies and nickels, which are made with
copper and zinc. The government banned the melting of the coins and
forbade their export.
So... what does this have to do with the bullion premium?
The spot price of gold is set in London. Buying bullion in America now
costs more because the market realizes the value of the dollar is
inflated. Bullion has fled America. The market clearly believes legal
tender laws will soon be imposed, forcing merchants to accept a fixed
value of the dollar. The bad money, America's paper dollars, is chasing
away the good money, gold bullion.
My advice is to buy physical gold as "wealth protection"
against the currency debasement I see happening around us. Don't
check the price every day. Think in terms of ounces accumulated rather
than current market value. And do it soon.
Good investing,
Porter
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