From Porter Stansberry in the S&A Digest:
I've spent this week trying to figure out what will happen as
the U.S. continues to default on its debts. And make no mistake,
the U.S.
is defaulting!!!
By that I mean it can no longer find any real creditor to
finance its obligations, so it is making ends meet by having the
Federal Reserve paper over our funding gap, which I estimate is
at least $500 billion per year.
I know what will happen in general... Inflation will rise,
interest rates will soar, and credit, generally, will be harder
to come by. But the big question is whether or not there will be
a real run on the dollar.
I estimate our annual foreign borrowing requirements are now
around $2 trillion per year. That's the foreign contribution to
our annual deficits plus the amount of foreign debt we must roll
over each year. China has stopped buying. What happens if we
have to paper over the entire $2 trillion? It could happen. In
fact... I think it will happen.
And here's the curious part. U.S. Treasury and agency debt makes
up about 60% of the world's banking reserves. So... what happens
when the world's reserve currency defaults? I don't think anyone
knows for certain. But I know a few things are very likely to
happen – soaring hard commodity prices, for example. In my
latest newsletter, I tell my subscribers how to protect
themselves from a full-blown dollar crisis. It's coming.
Back in my November issue, I explained the secret of the
Greenspan-Guidotti rule. It accurately predicts when countries
will experience a currency crisis. And it flashed a warning
signal about the U.S. in 2009.
One guy I know who understands Greenspan-Guidotti is George
Soros. You might not like his politics, but no one in history
has made more money trading currencies. He put on his biggest
trade in years last December – just after I wrote my analysis
of the Greenspan-Guidotti rule and U.S. finances. What did Soros
buy? More than $600 million of gold. He knows
what's going to happen. If you don't understand the Greenspan-Guidotti
rule, you really ought to read my newsletter. This one idea
alone is worth more than the price of admission.
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